Agent Economic Readiness

Benchmarking agents’ readiness for value delivery rather than just task completion.

Benchmarks like Terminal-Bench and GDPval evaluate whether AI can complete a technical task or produce professional-quality work. AERead evaluates whether AI can turn information, resources, and delegated authority into beneficial economic outcomes through interaction with other actors. We read AI adoption differently: not as the automation of existing job functions, but as a way to raise the value delivered in critical economic activities.

01

Why this?

Take an M&A deal. Investment banking is among the higher-value occupations GDPval covers, yet the repetitive junior work that fills those hours, the models, decks and data rooms, carries only a small share of what the deal is worth.

When competent work products are not enough, what prevents AI agents from realizing available economic value?

02

What we do

An open-source environment for running economic benchmarks, with selected cases in deal structuring and contract negotiation, for agent builders and research teams. Agents get a mandate rather than an assignment, and are scored on the outcome their decisions produce.

03

How we do it

Run agents in simulated economic tasks. Settle only what is feasible and authorized. Check outcomes with objective verifiers, and keep every run replayable from its records. Rubrics reviewed by human experts, for assessing how an agent got there, are in development.

A passed test or a graded deliverable is not a settled outcome.

We measure realized surplus, principal outcomes and constraint adherence, not merely the quality of a recommendation or the completion of a transaction. The target column is where the benchmark is headed; the v0 results below report the first of these, and a first probe of the second.

Code and documents still matter here. The difference is whether the artifact is where evaluation ends, or an instrument that moves an outcome.
Dimension Task completione.g. Terminal-Bench Professional outpute.g. GDPval Economic outcomeAERead’s target
Starting pointA task instruction in a sandboxed terminalAn assignment to produce specified workAn economic situation plus a mandate
The agent mustCarry the task through in that environmentProduce a useful deliverableDecide on a beneficial course of action and carry it out
Other partiesNone; the environment only runs commandsMostly described in the supplied contextActors who can withhold information, refuse, counteroffer, or fail to perform
What changesFiles and system state in the sandboxThe work productAllocations, contracts, payments, obligations, exposure to risk
SuccessThe task’s tests passOutput quality, as experts judge itEconomic outcomes, within authority and other constraints
Typical failureTask unresolved, tests failingIncorrect or unusable workMissed surplus, harmful commitments, failed coordination, losses to the principal

Pilot v0, first published July 2026

v0 results

Five-seat markets. The model under test takes one seat and a fixed panel takes the other four; only feasible, consented deals settle. Each score is the share of the best possible outcome the market reached, reported case by case and never pooled into one number here.

In a separate bargaining probe, models sent to deal for their own side kept about a fifth of the gains available.

Share of the best possible outcome the market reached, by case
  1. Make a dealbilateral exchange, terms in view.38
  2. Coordinate many dealsclearing, several trades must close together.25
  3. Find each otherdiscovery, trading partners hidden.16
  4. Agree under secrecyconsent, the other side’s values hidden.19
  5. Trust over timedeferred settlement, pay first.49

Strongest model tested, one seat of five, 30 private scenarios per case; the fifth case’s private run is a confirmation arm. Scores hold inside each case’s stated assumptions: a pilot diagnostic, not a deployment certificate and not a measure of GDP.

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